Wednesday, March 05, 2008

I was closer than Seb

For those of you who have spent the last 24 hours sitting in a cave with your fingers in your ears, Clinton managed a "comeback" last night with solid wins in Ohio and Rhode Island, plus a narrow win in Texas. Obama limped out of the primaries with only Vermont in tow... and his margin wasn't even as big as he would have liked (though it was strong).

Wait a second. Why is "comeback" in quotation marks? Well, you all know me to be more or less an Obama supporter, but I think this is a legit point: only weeks ago, Clinton had massive leads on Obama in both Texas and Ohio. The fact that she managed to hold on to them despite his alarming speed in closing the gap does not constitute some sort of massive comeback or swing in momentum (though to be fair, I must also say that previous claims of Obama's momentum were also exaggerated).

Personally, I think Obama will take Wyoming and Mississippi. They just seem like the kinds of states he does well in. As for Pennsylvania... we'll see. Whoever wins PA could very well win the nomination. The good news for Obama here is he has plenty of time to campaign there, and he's been very good at getting his numbers up as he spends time in a state.

My next post will have no mention of politics.

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