Monday, March 03, 2008

The spin begins

To Will, regarding the weather: Ahahahahahahahaha!

You may or may not have seen Sebastian's comment with rather radical predictions regarding tomorrow's election results. I shall respond with my own prediction:

Obama will take the Texas popular vote by 4%. Clinton will take Ohio by 6%. Let's see who ends up being right (or closer to it).

Here's what I found especially interesting of late: Conventional wisdom for the past few weeks has been that Clinton has to win both Ohio and Texas, or it's the beginning of the end (a failure to win either means game over). But recently we've been hearing the Clinton campaign comment that Barack Obama is "in trouble" if he doesn't sweep all four states that vote tomorrow (something that is unlikely to happen, with Rhode Island likely going to Clinton). The analysts aren't buying it, though, saying that the burden of proof is really on Clinton with this one. But the fact that Clintonites are trying to spin tomorrow's results implies to me that she has no plans of dropping out, especially if she holds on to one of the big two.

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